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Establised on 09/24/2005 by BossBogus.
Reorganized on 07/12/2006 and 04/18/2007. |
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Don't Be Evil
"Don't Be Evil" is the informal corporate motto (or slogan) for Google, established by Sergey Brin, claimed to be a powerful and benevolent principle for Google and other organizations —corporations in particular.
"Don't Be Evil" is said to recognize that large corporations can often maximize short-term profits with actions that destroy long-term brand image and competitive position. By instilling a Don't Be Evil culture, the corporation establishes a baseline for decision making that can enhance the trust and image of the corporation that outweighs short-term gains from violating the Don't Be Evil principles.
While many companies have ethical codes to govern their conduct, Google has tried to make "Don't Be Evil" a central pillar of their identity.
Google
Fuzzy maths
May 11th 2006 | SAN FRANCISCO From The Economist print edition
In a few short years, Google has turned from a simple and popular company into a complicated and controversial one
MATHEMATICALLY confident drivers stuck in the usual jam on highway 101 through Silicon Valley were recently able to pass time contemplating a billboard that read: “{first 10-digit prime found in consecutive digits of e}.com.” The number in question, 7427466391, is a sequence that starts at the 101st digit of e, a constant that is the base of the natural logarithm. The select few who worked this out and made it to the right website then encountered a “harder” riddle. Solving it led to another web page where they were finally invited to submit their curriculum vitae.
If a billboard can capture the soul of a company, this one did, because the anonymous advertiser was Google, whose main product is the world's most popular internet search engine. With its presumptuous humour, its mathematical obsessions, its easy, arrogant belief that it is the natural home for geniuses, the billboard spoke of a company that thinks it has taken its rightful place as the leader of the technology industry, a position occupied for the past 15 years by Microsoft.
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In tone, the billboard was “googley”, as the firm's employees like to say. That adjective, says one spokeswoman, evokes a “humble, cosmopolitan, different, toned-down” classiness. A good demonstration of googley-ness came in the speeches at a conference in Las Vegas this year. Whereas the bosses of other technology companies welcomed the audience into the auditorium with flashing lights and blasting rock music, Google played Bach's Brandenburg Concerto Number Three and had a thought puzzle waiting on every seat. The billboard was also googley in that, like Google's home page, it had visual simplicity that belied the sophistication of its content. To outsiders, however, googley-ness often implies audacious ambition, a missionary calling to improve the world and the equation of nerdiness with virtue.
The main symptom of this, prominently displayed on the billboard, is a deification of mathematics. Google constantly leaves numerical puns and riddles for those who care to look in the right places. When it filed the regulatory documents for its stockmarket listing in 2004, it said that it planned to raise ,718,281,828, which is $e billion to the nearest dollar. A year later, it filed again to sell another batch of shares—precisely 14,159,265, which represents the first eight digits after the decimal in the number pi (3.14159265).
The mathematics comes from the founders, Sergey Brin and Larry Page. The Russian-born Mr Brin is the son of a professor of statistics and probability and a mother who works at NASA; Mr Page is the son of two computer-science teachers. The breakthrough that made their search engine so popular was the realisation that the chaos of the internet had an implicit mathematical order. By counting, weighting and calculating the link structures between web pages, Messrs Page and Brin were able to return search results more relevant than those of any other search engine.
So far, they have maintained this superiority. Danny Sullivan, the editor of Search Engine Watch, an online industry newsletter, ranks Google as the best search engine, Yahoo! as second-best, Ask (the re-named Ask Jeeves) third, and Microsoft's MSN last among the big four. Google's share of searches has gone up almost every month of the past year. Including those on AOL, an internet portal that uses Google's search technology, Google had half of all searches in March. Excluding AOL, the figure was 43%. This is why people “google”—rather than, say, “yahoo”—their driving directions, dates and recipes.
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Mathematical prowess is also behind the other half of Google's success: its ability to turn all those searches into money. Unlike software companies such as Microsoft which get most of their revenues from licence fees, Google is primarily an advertising agency. It does not sell the usual sort of advertising, in which an advertiser places a display on a page and pays per thousand visitor “impressions” (views): it has perfected the more efficient genre of “pay-per-click” advertising. It places little text advertisements (“sponsored links”) on a page in an order determined by auction among the advertisers. But these advertisers pay only once an internet user actually clicks on their links (thereby expressing an interest in buying). This works best on the pages of search results, which account for over half of the firm's revenues, because the users' keywords allow Google to place relevant advertisements on the page. But it also works on other web pages, such as blogs or newspaper articles, that sign up to be part of Google's “network”.
These two interlocking “engines”—the search algorithms coupled with the advertising algorithms—are the motor that powers Google's growth in revenues (.1 billion last year) and profits (.5 billion), as well as its 7 billion market capitalisation. Its horsepower is the reason why Andy Bechtolsheim, Google's first investor (as well as a co-founder of Sun Microsystems, a big computer-maker) still holds on to all his shares in the firm. It's all about advertisers “bidding up the keywords” in Google's auctions, he says. “How far this thing could go, nobody can say.”
Since its stockmarket debut, however, Google has been adding new and often quite different products to this twin engine. It now owns Picasa, which makes software to edit digital photos on computers; Orkut, a social-networking site popular mainly in Brazil; and Blogger, which lets people start an online journal. It also offers free software for instant-messaging and internet telephony, for searching on the desktop computers of users, for (virtually) flying around the Earth, for keeping computers free of viruses, for uploading and sharing videos, and for creating web pages. It has a free e-mail program and calendar. It recently bought a firm called Writely, which lets people create and save text documents (much as Microsoft's Word does) online rather than on their own computers. Google is also scanning books in several large libraries to make them searchable. It is preparing to offer free wireless internet access in San Francisco and perhaps other cities, and dabbling in radio advertising. And that is only the start of a long list.
Whether these are arbitrary distractions or not depends on one's point of view. For Messrs Brin and Page, they make mathematical sense. Mr Brin (“the strategy guy”) has calculated that Google's engineers should spend 70% of their time on core products (ie, the search and advertising engines), 20% on relevant but tangential products, and 10% on wild fun that might or might not lead to a product. The result is that lots of tiny teams are working on all sorts of projects, the most promising ones of which end up on the prestigious “top 100” list that Mr Page (“the product guy”) spends a lot of his time on. Most of the items on that list in theory have something to do with Google's mission, which is “to organise the world's information”. Scanning and indexing books, for instance, brings offline information online.
The outside world increasingly sees it differently. Among Google fans, the company has come to epitomise the more mature (ie, post-bust) internet generation, which goes by the marketing cliché “Web 2.0” (see article). In this context, it is assumed to be working on absolutely everything simultaneously, and every new product announcement, no matter how trivial, is greeted as a tiny step toward an eventual world-changing transformation.
At a minimum, this hypothetical transformation would consist of moving computation and data off people's personal computers and on to the network—ie, Google's servers. Other names for this scenario are the “GDrive” or the “Google grid” that the company is allegedly working on, meaning free (but ultimately advertising-supported) copious online storage and possibly free internet access. Free storage threatens Microsoft, because its software dominates personal computers rather than the internet; free access threatens other internet-access providers.
At a maximum, the transformation goes quite a bit further. George Dyson, a futurist who has spent time at Google, thinks that the company ultimately intends to link all these digital synapses created by its users into what H.G. Wells, a British science-fiction writer, once called the “world brain”. Google, Mr Dyson thinks, wants to fulfil the geeks' dream of creating “artificial intelligence”. Passing the so-called “Turing test”, created by Alan Turing, a British mathematician, to determine whether a machine can be said to be able to think, would be the ultimate reward.
But many who deal with Google in their daily lives are getting fed up with such grandiose notions. Google's shares, after nearly quintupling since they began trading, have fallen in recent months. Pip Coburn, an investment strategist, says that “Google was a simple story at one point: online ads on top of the most popular search mechanism on the planet. Simple. But now it is pretty much a mess and to get the stock going again, the company may need to work on its own simplicity so as to match the simplicity of the Google home page itself.”
Mr Sullivan of Search Engine Watch says Google has become distracted. “Oh, give me a break,” he wrote in his blog after yet another product announcement. “A break from Google going in yet another direction when there is so much stuff they haven't finished, gotten right or need to fix.” He points to a rule in Google's corporate philosophy that “it's best to do one thing really, really well,” and suggests that the company is “doing 100 different things rather than one thing really, really well.”
Google is thus starting to look a bit as Microsoft did a decade ago, with one strength (Windows for Microsoft, search for Google) and a string of mediocre “me-too” products. Google Video, for instance, was supposed to become an online marketplace for video clips, both personal and business, but has been overtaken by YouTube, a start-up that is a few months old but already has four times as much video traffic. Google News, where the stories are, characteristically, chosen by mathematical algorithms rather than by editors, perennially lags behind Yahoo! News, with its old-fashioned human touch. Google's instant-messaging software is tiny compared with AOL's, Yahoo!'s and MSN's.
Google is beginning to resemble the old Microsoft in another way, too. A decade ago, Microsoft stood accused of stifling innovation, because entrepreneurs would stay away from any area of technology in which it showed any interest. Google, whose slogan is “Don't be evil”, hates this comparison and wants to think of itself as ventilating rather than stifling the ecosystem of developers and entrepreneurs. “I don't see how they can say that,” says an entrepreneur and competitor who is too afraid of unspecified consequences to speak on the record. Like most of Silicon Valley these days, he finds Google's slogan ridiculous, because “we're not evil either, we just don't go around saying it.”
Entrepreneurs like him are getting annoyed by Google's seemingly endless “betas”, also known as “technical previews”, when new products are not yet officially launched but available, ostensibly for testing and review. Traditionally, beta reviews were meant to last weeks or months and were targeted at testers who would find and report bugs. Google seems to use betas as dogs sprinkle trees—so that rivals know where it is. Google News recently graduated out of its beta after about four years.
In fairness, Google's role today is more complex than Microsoft's was in the 1990s, when start-ups often hoped to “exit” by listing their shares on the stockmarket, and were occasionally expunged by Microsoft before they got there. Today, start-ups (such as Writely, Picasa, Orkut and Urchin) often use Google (or the other internet titans) as the exit, selling themselves to the big guy. It works for individuals too. Paul Rademacher is a software engineer who last year came up with a clever way of combining Google's interactive maps with other websites. Google hired him.
To Google's initial surprise and subsequent chagrin (is it not enough to vow never to be evil?), it alienates more groups of people as it enters more areas of modern life. It appeared to be genuinely taken aback that some book publishers oppose its plan to scan their books and make them searchable. Google also seemed surprised when privacy advocates voiced concerns over its practice of placing advertisements in contextually related e-mail messages on its webmail service, and again this year when it announced a Chinese version that censors the search results.
Slowly, the company is realising that it is so important that it may not be able to control the ramifications of its own actions. “As more and more data builds up in the company's disk farms,” says Edward Felten, an expert on computer privacy at Princeton University, “the temptation to be evil only increases. Even if the company itself stays non-evil, its data trove will be a massive temptation for others to do evil.” In a world of rogue employees, intruders and accidents, he says, Google could be “one or two privacy disasters away from becoming just another internet company”.
Such concerns are forcing Messrs Brin and Page, still in their early 30s, and Eric Schmidt, whom they hired as chief executive and who is in his early 50s, to behave increasingly like a “normal” company. Google recently sent its first lobbyists to Washington, DC. Its decision to build an “evil scale” to help it devise its China strategy was more unusual, but its hiring of Al Gore, a former American vice-president, to aid the process, was just the kind of thing that old-fashioned empire-building firms do all the time.
Other companies are reacting in traditional ways to Google's dominance. Former rivals, such as eBay, Yahoo! and Microsoft, are exploring alliances to counter its influence. When Microsoft tried to buy AOL from its parent, Time Warner, Google's Mr Schmidt flew in for talks that led to Google taking a defensive stake in AOL, thus keeping it out of Microsoft's and Yahoo!'s reach. In response, Microsoft has contemplated buying all or part of Yahoo!, and has recently announced a vague but large increase in research spending which amounts to an arms race. Google is now alleging that Microsoft is unfairly steering users of its web browser to MSN for searches, and is preparing to dispatch lawyers to keep Microsoft in check.
Google thus finds itself at a defining moment. There are plenty of people within the company who want it to play the power game. “The folks who are closest to Larry and Sergey are very, very worried about Microsoft, as well they should be,” says John Battelle, the author of a blog and a book on Google. Yet the company's founders themselves may not be prepared to drop their idealism and their faith in their own mathematical genius. They have always wanted to succeed by being good and doing good. “Never once did we consider buying a big company,” says David Krane, Google's 84th employee, by way of example. It would not be googley. It would, he says, be “yuck”.
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Copyright © 2006 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group. All rights reserved.
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这几天,国大经济系和国务院发展研究中心在合作一系列的论文创作与调查研究。我给老板叫过去当秘书。忙翻。过去72小时马不停蹄在赶着翻译一篇12,000多字的论文。国大的Sarah .Y. Tong 与国务院发研中心的Chen Bo合著。俺没用中文学过经济或统计,感觉比较吃力,比当年考北外和人事部的那两张翻译资格证书累多了。其间遭遇n+n个难题,发出n次求助, 收到n-1个回复(livy 你个擅自闪人还不回电邮的猪!BS!)
赞一下李鼎,作为长期在新东方教授GRE和高级翻译的老师,我的顶头上司,他在收到我求助的短短十分钟内,利用看球的间隙对我存有重大疑惑的若干专业度高难度大的问题进行了深入剖析和详细解答,同时修改了我的译文中存在的若干错误。牛人风范,高山仰止。狂赞。
昨天翻译“The coefficients are significantly negative for the first and significantly positive for the second.”这个句子时,我吃不准这种关系回归系数的显著性检验的关键词怎么处理。各方反应大体如下:
Nico 或 Michelle : (英语和经济学相关专业)
没空聊这个,在说正经事情
虽然我们不懂,但是我们认为你非常帅(我同意你们的观点,但这无助于解决我的问题)
你把中文大意说一下(我能说清楚还问你们?)
学习不好
我没学过(浪费我时间)
GH: (南京大学,NTU accounting)
学是学过, 忘的差不多了, 系数?重大性?(我晕)我就是不会哎。。。(统计你肯定学过的)就说是一个很 大的正数( 汗ing)。。。
Xu Chi: (南外时同桌,后报送北外,现就读北外高翻院,当时在日内瓦联合国机构实习)
这么专业,你当我是谁啊, 现行回归是什么, 第一比率的系数为负, 第二为正, 我乱翻的, 相当的负, (我要的是学术语言,不是冯巩的语言。。。)“明显的负”, 行不行, 不行你去死, (。。。)你住几楼?(问这个干什么?)你可以走到窗边,跳下去,一次就能摔死了.(交友不慎)
Gu Jing:(金融专业,当年同事)
不是很懂艾, 在第一个比例下,协同参数绝对负?(我听不懂你在说什么,但看上去挺玄乎,决定用你的。)这个模型偶知道哎. 是不是在做模型看是否具相关性? 在第一个税率下,协同因素绝对取负, 我忽悠呢,以后还是问李鼎吧.(谦虚了,问到现在,你是最着调的)
Livy: 擅自下线潜水,没理我,很不讲礼貌的说
下面是李鼎修改的答案和我的未经修改的版本,有的错误是急急忙忙没仔细读句子导致,还有些则是实实在在的差距啊,差距。。。
Table 1:Tobit Estimation Results
Dependent Variable: Share_LCSale
All Industry Agriculture Service
Profitability
Importance of SOEs
Labor Intensity
Export Competitiveness
Import Competition
Geography & infrastructure
Firm size & age
Constant
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Sigma 总和
No. of observations 样本数量
LR chi2 左右卡方
No. of regressors 回归量
Log likelihood 对数似然
Left-censored 左侧检查
Right-censored 右侧检查
钱的反省:都是李鼎译的,我自己专业的中文术语不熟,惭愧!
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句子:
- We proposed three key hypotheses. One is that the regional leaders of Chinese provinces, after gradual but substantial decentralization of both fiscal and administrative autonomy, are provided strong incentives and capability to shelter local industries from competing with non-local domestic firms.
钱:我们提出了三个关键的假设。首先,在各地的财税和行政自主权经历了有步骤但扎实有效的分权化改革以后,中国各省区领导有了强大的动力和能力在与外来企业的竞争中保护本地工业。
李:我们提出了三个关键的假设。首先,在各地的财税和行政自主权经历了有步骤但扎实有效的分权化改革以后,中国各省区领导有了强有力的动机和能力在与国内的外地企业的竞争中保护本地工业。
钱的反省:这里我是有疑虑的。在新加坡non-local就等于是foreign, as opp. to domestic, 但在中国,当我们在常规语言中提到“外地“时,一般没有人会把这个概念的外延拓展到“国境线以外“, 换句话说“外地“一般就指“non-local albeit still domestic" ,那样的话,“国内的外地“就显得不够简练,而且也比较拗口。。。但我还没有提出这点,李鼎就下了,估计去看球了。。。sigh
2.At the same time, local authorities are able to exercise various measures to favor local profitable industries, such as quantity and price controls, and purchasing requirement for local buyers, and extract financial benefits in return.
钱:同时,地方政府还可以采取多种对当地的高利润行业有力的措施,比如数量和价格控制,对本地买家实施强制消费( 或提出购买要求)以及允许本地厂商提取财务回扣等。
李:同时,地方政府还可以采取多种对当地的高利润行业有力的措施,比如数量和价格控制,对本地顾客提出购买要求,并以经济利益作为回报。
钱的反省:一开始我就犯了重大概念性错误。“extract" 这个动词是谁完成的,考GRE必须注意复杂句式下搭配和主谓一致的问题。之后在改正过程中又往原文里添加了自己的理解和想法,大忌。
3. Two ratios…The coefficients are significantly negative for the first and significantly positive for the second.
钱:为了测算行业利润率,我们采用了两个比例:一个是行业的增值税税率(即一个行业缴纳的税额占其实现的增值额的比例),另一个是行业利润占其实现的增值额的比例。第一个比例的参数符号显著为负,第二个的符号显著为正。
李:为了测算行业利润率,我们采用了两个比例:一个是行业的增值税税率(即一个行业缴纳的税额占其实现的增值额的比例),另一个是行业利润占其实现的增值额的比例。第一个比例的参数符号(系数)显然为负,第二个的符号(系数)显然为正。
4. As regulators and representatives of the SOE’s owners, regional governments have a much higher interest in these firms.
钱:由于既是监管者又是所有者代表,地方政府的利益与这些企业更加紧密地联系在一起
李:由于既是监管者又是所有者代表,地方政府可以从这些企业中获取更大的利益。
- In the next section, we propose our theoretical argument and state key hypothesis to be tested in the empirical analysis.
钱:在下一节里,我们将论述自己的理论,陈述关键的假设,并用实验分析检验这些假设。
李:在下一节里,我们将论述自己的理论,陈述关键的假设,并将用经验分析来检验这些假设。
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—— 自由主义在近代中国(58——61)
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一、经济学成就
一个创立学派并在世界前沿研究的经济学家,一个少年时代就以一篇文章震动中华的呐喊者,一个系狱十年的政治犯,一个积极推动中国宪政演化的思想者,一个在晚年皈依耶稣的虔诚基督徒,这五种身份,重合在一个人身上,其概率极小,几乎等于零。倘若能它真的发生,则可能是一桩奇迹。
然而,它确实出现了。奇迹创造者的名字——杨小凯。
不幸的是,杨小凯先生已于2004年7月因患癌症去世,享年55岁,而当时正是他一生心智的巅峰时期。去世前,他是澳大利亚莫纳什大学经济系讲座教授,澳大利亚社会科学院院士,澳大利亚递增报酬和经济组织研究中心主任。他的论文见诸于《美国经济评论》(AER)、《政治经济学杂志》(JPE)、《发展经济学杂志》(JDE)、《经济行为与组织杂志》(JEBO)等国际一流经济学刊物,并出版了多种中英文专著,如《经济学——新兴古典与新古典框架》、《经济发展与分工》、《分工和经济组织:一个新兴古典微观经济学分析框架》等。
在经济学方面,杨小凯被认为是”首位冲击西方主流经济学的中国经济学家”。他对有关分工中”超边际经济学”的研究使他获得了瞩目的成就和各国同行的推崇。他挑战了新古典经济学,开创出新兴古典经济学的崭新学派,试图”消弭微观经济学和宏观经济学,包纳新古典经济学”, 从而成为一代经济学宗师。
杨小凯创立的新兴古典经济学,赋有很强的解释力和包容力,奠基于对新古典经济学的涵括与批判,它对企业理论、产权理论、国际贸易理论、增长理论、货币理论、城市化理论和经济周期理论等几乎所有当代重要经济领域都提供了全新的具有原创性的解释。该理论的勃勃雄心在于:通过自己的架构,创立一个包容西方主流的新古典经济学的经济学派。
他的著作《经济学——新兴古典与新古典框架》被匿名审稿人评为:”这是一项具有原创性和新颖性的研究,激动人心而又令人屏息以视。杨是世上少有的几个有能力思考这类问题的人之一,也是世上仅有的几个有能力解决这类问题的人之一……在整个经济学面临剧变的时代,他处于这个剧变的最活跃部分。” 张五常在评价杨小凯的时候说,如果不是太晚到美国念书,杨小凯获得一个诺贝尔经济学奖大概不是太难。 休克疗法设计人、联合国秘书长安南特别顾问杰弗里.萨克斯在他为杨小凯所著《发展经济学:超边际与边际分析》所作的序言里(题为《杨小凯的贡献》)表示:”作为序言的作者,作为杨小凯的同事和值得托付的朋友,是我的幸运。”而1986年诺贝尔经济学奖得主、公共选择学派创始人詹姆斯.布坎南则极口称赞杨“可能是当今最好的经济学家之一”。
这些经济学研究的创获,对于一位文革时的中学生而言,确实卓尔不凡。当时,年纪轻轻的杨小凯突遭横逆,被判刑十年。但他在狱中并未自暴自弃,而是砥砺自学,完成了高中和大学英语及数理等课程。1978年4月,杨小凯出狱后,在湖南大学数学系旁听了一年数学课,然后直接考上中国社会科学院数量经济研究所的研究生。1982年,研究生刚毕业的他,到武汉大学给研究生教授数理经济学和经济控制论。在经济学家茅于轼的推荐下,杨小凯迅速出版了有关数理经济学和经济控制论的三本专著。后来他被美国普林斯顿大学著名的华裔经济学家邹至庄选中,1985年赴美留学,在普林斯顿大学深造,仅仅用了三年时间,就获得了经济学博士学位。随后,他到澳大利亚莫纳什大学任教,未及一年由讲师升为高级讲师,1992年被聘为教授,在莫纳什大学经济系,教师要评教授,则必须在本研究领域内排名世界前5名。从获得博士学位到正教授,杨小凯只用了4年时间。
作为一个华人经济学家,杨小凯对中国的改革极其关注,特别殚精竭虑于中国的产权改革。 在杨小凯看来,从私有制被侵犯、被破坏、被消除,中国经济就走上了一条贫弱的不归路。
2002年4月在北京,杨小凯做了题为《后发劣势》的主题演讲,挑战在发展中国家里一直人云亦云的”后发优势”理论,激起了巨大的反响,并导致了和北大中国经济研究中心主任林毅夫的一场引人注目的论战。
在杨小凯看来,发展中国家往往倾向于模仿发达国家的技术而抗拒模仿发达国家的制度;这种”路径依赖”虽然可以使发展中国家获得短期内经济的快速增长,但同时也会强化制度模仿的惰性并从而给长期发展留下隐患,甚至使得长期发展变成不可能。
在与休克疗法创始人萨克斯合作的一篇题为《经济改革与宪政转轨》的论文中,他提出警示:中国作为一个后发国家,尽管现在改革开放很成功,但发展前景并不清晰明朗。他甚至预言,尽管俄罗斯震荡疗法后的短期社会效果相较于中国的渐进式转轨而言好像是一个失败,但由于俄罗斯进行了根本的宪政体制变革,其将来发展会超越中国。他的这项预言正在等待历史的检验。
华人经济学家张五常在悼念杨小凯时说:”他的学术生涯只有20年,满是火花的20年,小凯不枉此生。”
二、传奇生涯
经济学家杨小凯,他第一次在全国崭露头角,却并非因为经济学,而是因为他年轻时的一篇政论——《中国向何处去》。当时,正是中国文革的癫狂时期,16岁的杨小凯当时是湖南长沙一中的学生,其父母当时是厅局级干部,因此他也算是一个干部子弟。杨小凯参加了属于湖南省无联的组织,然而,与一般卷入运动者不同的是,杨小凯喜欢并且善于从根本上思考问题,他对地区性的两派是非并不感兴趣,而是着眼于中国更深层次的政治与社会问题。于是,一篇署名杨曦光(杨小凯原名杨曦光,小凯为其乳名)的文章——《中国向何处去》,横空出世,风行全国,震动京华。不胫而走的异端文章,使他遭受了十年的牢狱之灾。
《中国向何处去》带有南斯拉夫理论家吉拉斯(Milovan Djilas)的《新阶级》的思想烙印,也混杂有马克思早期思想以及马关于巴黎公社的原则等因素。文章发表后,中共”党内头号理论家”兼克格勃头子康生,在其讲话中几次点到了”一中的杨曦光”与杨写的《中国向何处去》一文,说是”反革命的‘战马悲呜’”。康生还断言说:”我有一个感觉,他的理论,绝不是中学生,甚至不是大学生写的,他的背后有反革命黑手!”
因为这一”反革命言行”,杨小凯不仅自己身陷囹圄,同时也殃及父母。不久后,他母亲黯然离世,铸成为了杨小凯一生难以释怀的哀痛。 文革结束,胡耀邦就他的冤案亲自批示中央组织部:”杨曦光的问题要由法院依法处理。”1978年4月,杨小凯出狱。后来于1985年赴美,到普林斯顿大学攻读经济学博士。
杨小凯在美国攻读学位的1986至1987年间,中共发起反对”资产阶级自由化”的政治运动,把有自由化倾向的方励之、刘宾雁、王若望开除出党,并把同情自由化的总书记胡耀邦撤职,此一倒行逆施,激起留美中国学生的广泛不满。普林斯顿大学与哥伦比亚大学的一群留学生给中共写了一封公开信,抗议对所谓”资产阶级自由化”的镇压。小凯是公开信的发起人之一。因此事,他与另外两名发起人李少民、于大海并称为”普林斯顿三剑客”。公开信发表后,很快竟有一千多留学生在信上签名。这是海外民主运动史上中国留学生第一次公开抗议中共对知识分子的政治迫害。
十年牢狱经历,杨小凯刻骨铭心,结果凝结成了一部奇书——《牛鬼蛇神录》。他用白描的笔法,平静的语调,呈现出的,却是一幅幅令人发指的政治迫害场景。其表述形式与残酷内容之间,极具张力,夺人心魄。在系狱者中,有普通百姓,有基督徒,也有极具独立思想的人。其中一些人在暴力面前表现出了坚韧精神和博大胸怀。杨小凯在监狱生涯中虽然历尽磨难,但从这些难友身上,也受益匪浅,并影响了他一生的精神追求和价值取向,以致他要在书末颇动感情地誓言:“不管将来发生甚么事情,我一定不能让在这片土地上发生的种种动人心魄的故事消失在黑暗中,我要把我亲眼见到的一段黑暗历史告诉世人,因为我的灵魂永远与这些被囚禁的精灵在一起。”
杨小凯早年的这些坎坷经历,铸成了他的特殊灵魂,注定了他不可能是一位“两耳不闻窗外事”的书斋型学者,以至于作为经济学讲座教授、澳洲社会科学院士的他,虽然专业性的学术活动与著述极其繁忙,却仍然十分焦虑和殷殷关切中国的命运,花大量时间到中国教书、演讲、著书。个中顽强的内驱力,来自他那些魂魄萦绕的“被囚禁的精灵”的呼喊,来自那些死难冤魂用生命浇注出的自由渴求。
他抱定宗旨,矢志成为被迫害的冤魂在人间的遗嘱执行人。
三、宪政思想先驱
杨小凯的思想历程,某种意义上可视为“正-反-合”的三段式,即:以一个热血青少年介入中国政治漩涡;其后淡出政治,潜心于经济学;最后又在一个更为广阔的基地上进入政治学的宪政研究。
凡是稍稍深入涉足近些年来中国经济变迁的经济学家,最后必定会遭遇到宪政这一根本课题。要保证经济发展的长治久安的外部环境,离开了宪政下的法治是难以为继的。被撒切尔夫人称为“天生的资本主义者”的中国人,为何其杰出的企业家的才能长期被抑制?其源盖出于经济活动的制度环境上。这里的关键在于限制政府对经济活动的干预,在于厘清财产权利的归属并使产权获得法律保障,在于存在一个独立的司法体系。这些条件,只有宪政秩序才可提供,它是经济长期稳定且公平增长的制度框架。
作为经济学家,虽然杨小凯也同多数同行一样,对经济学中的方法与技术问题努力推进并竭力创新,但他还具有一个突出的独到的思维特征,即,他常常着眼于根本性的问题,基础性的问题,并旁及其它广泛领域,从而常有不同凡响的洞见和视野。而这,正是所谓大家风范,也是多数学院派教授以及官方的经济学幕僚难于企及的。
应当注意,杨小凯在成年之后思考政治问题的基本框架和倾向,与当时写《中国向何处去》的年轻时代已经很大不同了。当年杨曦光的意识形态底色,基本上是革命民主主义及民粹主义,也有马克思主义的若干痕迹。他后来写道:“我在文革时写的‘中国向何处去?’中推崇巴黎公社式的民主,包括直接选举官员、取消常备军、取消高薪等等。而实现这种民主的手段却是激进的革命手段──‘推翻中国的新特权阶级,砸烂旧的国家机器。’” 然而他经过长期苦思力索,成年后,它已认识到“革命民主主义与现代民主政治是完全不同,甚至是对立的东西”了。他的思想基地已然转换到自由主义了。如果粗略地说,当年他关注的价值核心是社会平等和大众民主的话,那么,后来他的价值重心则变成个人自由,变成权力平衡了。换言之,如何实现宪政成为他政治思考的中心。
这一思想转折与他对西方政治史、中国历史以及对文革的长期思考有关,同时,也与他对经济学的研究有关。
作为一个文革的亲历者,他认为,文革把“人民”的暴戾本性的一面显示无余。有鉴于此,中国社会心理才在文革后期有一种“油然而生的反革命情绪”。
实际上,前面所提及的杨小凯关于“后发劣势”的观点,就是以宪政理论为依托的,它是把宪政观念引入现代化理论框架中的逻辑后果。这样,就把一个表面是经济发展的问题自然而然地导入了宪政制度的问题。此外,他所创立的、取代主流的边际分析方法的超边际分析这种新方法,使微观经济学从资源配置问题转向经济组织问题。他的这一基础性的方法论思路,使他顺理成章地把制度、国家组织与经济增长和发展联系起来考虑,这样,宪政问题和宪政经济学就必然进入他的视野。他对于英国古典经济理论资源的重新挖掘,以及他的实证意识,使他关注英国的市场经济实践史及其各种有关的关键性制度要素的变迁,这样就自然呈现出英国市场经济体制的英国式宪政制度之间的内在关联。
因此,可以看出,杨小凯的宪政思想是有深厚的知识背景的。他通过长期思考,通过历史比较研究和谨严的逻辑推理,指出:“经济改革只是宪政改革的一部分,如果忽略或回避经济改革与宪政改革之间的关系,落后国家期望经济改革得到的‘后发优势’最终将成为‘后发劣势’。”他在《中国的经济改革》一文中更加明确地指出:“中国的市场导向改革最重要特征是缺乏宪政秩序和法治”。
他的宪政主义思路,其焦点概念是——平衡。小凯曾在多个场合辨析民主与共和的不同之处。共和强调权力制衡,任何一极都不能压倒另一极,这样社会才有可能保持持久的稳定和发展。而自由主义与共和主义较接近,关心的是如何以权力制衡来保护少数,限制政府的权力,使人的自然权利不受侵犯。相反,一个国家的主流意识形态如果只是单纯讲民主不讲共和与自由主义,这个国家往往形成统治阶级和被统治阶级两极,容易产生两极震荡,往往在革命产生暴君,暴君导致革命之间循环。而主流意识形态既有共和主义又有民主主义的国家往往是政治结构的三角或多角鼎立,相对而言,国家比较安定。众所周知,平衡的概念也是美国的建国之父麦迪逊所特别强调的。
在杨小凯看来,从灾难深重的文革可能留下的的正面遗产来看,至少有两点应该确立起来:一是反政治迫害;二是派别与结社的合法化。
关于宪政思想,应当说,杨小凯主要是从“英国光荣革命”历史中吸取灵感的。他说:“文革中两派形成的社会背景实质上与当年英国圆颅党、辉格党之间的冲突及法国山岳党与立宪派(或山岳派与罗伯斯比尔派)的冲突非常相像”, “长期互相迫害的两大派之间就出现谁也吃不掉谁的均衡局面。”他说:“他们的共存和制衡是整个制度创新的基础。他不同意把一派说成绝对正确,另一派说成十恶不赦,这既非客观,更影响共存与制衡。”他认为民主是两个魔鬼,不是一个圣人(参见《历史的沉思与未来的选择》)。
基于这一观点,杨小凯对文革中短暂出现的派别与结社赋与了高度重视。文革是中国派性最张扬的时期,在朝,有文革派与反文革派。在民间,则是造反派与保守派。双方势如水火。“保守派是那些文革前现体制下的既得利益者,而造反派是那些出身不好,被迫害和歧视的人”。两派分别与不同取向的群众组织相联系。
虽然,杨小凯也懂得,准许群众成立组织是毛泽东向对手打出的一张民意牌,是机会主义行为。而“即使是造反派思想行为也从未跳出『毛』的怪圈”,无论在朝在野,“最后仲裁是毛”。而且,杨小凯也了解,文革中的两派都是“一半是天使,一半是野兽”, “一旦得势,恶劣无所不用其极,社会秩序完全崩溃”。
从这一角度回顾国共之争,他说:“共产党犯的最大错误,就是当年把国民党消灭了,要是国民党不被消灭,跟共产党平等竞争,是对刘少奇、彭德怀他们最大保护,有国民党,毛泽东怎么会这样无法无天,他的行为就比较规矩。彭德怀、刘少奇都不会死得这么惨,包括林彪。”
杨小凯认为:“中国知识分子喜欢附和强权去歧视弱者,这个传统应对一九四九年一边倒局面负责。”杨小凯指出“政治改革走宪政之路才是当权者、知识分子自保之路。将来一天任何权利都没有了,下场难免悲惨。” 有鉴于此,他希望国共两党“内战中战胜者和战败方都重新在选战中公平地一争胜负”。
他指出:“如果我能在电视中向人民大声疾呼,那我会说:民主的当务之急,一是设立人身保护法案,取消反革命罪,禁止任何政治迫害;二是推动修宪运动,取消四个基本坚持,实现政教分离,取消马列主义、毛泽东思想作为国教的地位,保证真正的信仰自由。”
杨小凯宪政思想的另外一个来源,就是人权观念,特别集中于反对政治迫害。他谈到文革时说:“当时整个中国成了丧失人权、失去自由的大监狱。”而他对文革思考的核心,归结到一点,就是:反对一切政治迫害。他相信:“否定任何政治迫害的合法性正是民主政治的第一必要条件。”
中共建政的头十七年,每次政治运动,均以百分之五的比率(有时有的地方超额,因为有一意孤行的领导,必有百般逢迎的下属)生产着”负面”的政治群体(或简称”敌”)。平日还零零碎碎产生各类”分子”——”负面”政治群体。土地改革运动(四十年代末起五十年代初结束)后的地主分子、富农分子;一九五一年镇压反革命(镇反)、一九五五年的肃清反革命(肃反)后的反革命(包括历史反革命)分子;一九五七年”反右”运动的右派分子;到了一九六四年左右的”四清”运动,中国形成了”地、富、反、坏、右”这个完整的称谓(简称黑五类)外带里通外国的(美蒋或苏修)特务。胡风、彭德怀的万言书之后又添增”胡风分子”、”右倾机会主义分子”;文革又命名了”小邓拓”、”走资派”、”反动学术权威”……名目繁多。每个”分子”背后,株连三至五个直系亲属,其总人数当超过一亿。(参见谢泳《出身与成份对中国社会的影响》,《山西文学》二零零四年版)。
杨小凯说:“用迫害政敌的情绪毒害全民族,这种情绪正是专制制度的基础。”“几十年迫害政敌(包括他们自己内部不同意见者)都是以迫害国民党人的合法性为基础。”“中共对内战挫败方进行全面政治迫害既不是对巩固宪政秩序必要的,更不是合法的。”“否定任何政治迫害的合法性正是民主政治的第一必要条件。”
杨小凯主张“通过人身保护法或人权法案,使四十年来受过政治迫害的一切人都可以通过法律的途径伸张正义,保护自己的权利……要包括所有土改、镇反、清查『五一六』等一切运动中的人权问题。对实施政治迫害的人,应该象纽伦堡法庭一样,追究个人的法律责任,这条法律应该对所有的人都一样,不管是文革初期的红卫兵,文革中期的造反派或一九五零年的土改干部”。
这一主张,直接继承了1957年罗隆基关于成立“平反委员会”的主张,并且在通过独立的司法保障人权的思路上,又跨进了一步。
杨小凯有关宪政的文章或演讲,包括《历史的沉思与未来的选择》、《民国经济史》、《土地私有制与宪政共和的关系》、《经济改革与宪政转轨》、《后发劣势:共和与自由》、《基督教和宪政》,均有犀利独到的论证角度和历史资料支撑。杨小凯的专业虽然不是政治学或法学,但他的一些见解,对局限在过度狭隘的专业领域内思考宪政问题的法学、政治学专家来说,仍然具有一定的启迪作用,并赋有方法论意义。
作为一个勤奋思索的学人,杨小凯政治思想有一个明显的演化甚至转变历程。但他的思路演化史是有迹可寻的,逻辑线索清晰,是对历史与现实苦思力索的结果,而并非自身在现实中因地位变迁和利益变化的副产品。即是说,是思想深化的结果,而非利益变化的结果。
四、灵魂归宿:基督教
在中国大陆知识界,杨小凯的心路历程具有相当典型的意义,甚至可以说它是走在最前沿的思想演变者,且是引领风气的一代典范。他是中国那代深思者中赋有代表性的一祯缩影。
作为青年时代的激进革命民主主义者,作为一位卓越的经济学家,作为自由主义宪政制度的理论推手,杨小凯个人的灵魂生命,在其色彩斑斓一生的最后几年,皈依了基督教。他曾撰写长文《宪政与基督教》,袒露自己最后走上这条神圣之途的精神历程。
基督教与现代主流的经济与政治秩序的某种联系是明显的。它奠立了一个超越性的人格——上帝,奠立了一个超越性的世界——天国,从此,彼岸与此岸的巨大落差,对人间的俗世社会产生了极大的升华引领作用。它将芸芸众生的每个人赋予了同样的权利,无论贵贱,不分高低,从而导引出了不可侵犯的人权观念。同时,众生被一视同仁地置于上帝之下,在“上帝面前人人平等”的信条下,衍生出了“法律面前人人平等”的原则。极大了提供了现代宪政民主制度的精神基地。它对人类罪性的认定,彰显了对任何权力实施限制与平衡的必要性,特别是对人类生活影响巨大的政治权力,为防止因其不受制约而必然导致的罪恶和祸害,必须实施权力的分割分立,必须精心安排其运作规则,防阻权力垄断致罪,使之相互制衡,避免巨大祸害。显然,基督教,特别是它的新教,是现代宪政得以发生的一个重要精神启迪资源。
有鉴于此,我们不难理解,何以现代世界的宪政民主制度是起源于基督教文化国家了。
与此有关的先贤论著不在少数。不过,对中国知识界多数人而言,耳熟能详的恐怕还是马克斯.韦伯(Max Weber)的名著《新教伦理与资本主义精神》。但深究其实,此书并没有真正回答上述问题。韦伯谈的是资本主义与基督教新教的正面相关关系,并非论证基督教与民主宪政之间的必要条件关系。当然,在当代,正如杨小凯也注意到的,哈佛的Shileifer教授等人对经济表现和意识形态的回归分析,表明有些宗教对经济起着阻碍作用。而有些宗教,如基督新教,对经济发展,对社会和平——圣经里说的永久和平和公正秩序——起着促进作用。而经济史家North 则认为意识形态、宗教决定了一个国家的政治秩序、道德准则,决定了可以接受和不可以接受的行为。所有这些研究,几乎无例外地说明了基督教特别是新教对现代经济秩序和政治秩序的正面作用,是杨小凯特别关注的历史与现实。而这,也正是他晚年逐步走向基督教的重要动因。
杨小凯在《基督教与宪政》中论述了他自己走向基督教的心路历程。第一阶段,他是从经济学、社会科学的角度观察,发现基督教在经济发展史的巨大作用;同时,也发现西方的自由宪政与基督教间存在某种关联。他说,“基督教为什么要比其它文明成功得多,其中就有一个所有宗教都有的功能,叫做第三者功能”。他从社会心理学和知识论上论证何以基督教有益于自由宪政、有益于西方资本主义的成功。基督教信仰使社会实现了“爱”与“秩序”,这是文明得以建立和维系的前提。第二阶段,他逐步摆脱了上述功利主义,注意到了科学与信仰分属各自不同的领域,懂得了科学并非万能,它对价值、对道德是缄默的,于是开始克服对科学理性的迷信,但尚未进入信仰上帝的精神状态;第三阶段因生命状态体验到某种危机感,产生精神飞跃,升华到了基督教的根本——信。
宪政民主制度与基督教的正面相关的联系,现在恐怕已经难于否定了。但是,我们是否能进一步推论,是否能倒过来说,只有在基督教文化内部才能建立宪政民主呢?这是一个引发众多争议的话题。
这一话题,在很大程度上可以溯源于近代以来一些非基督教文化国家争取民主宪政的历史进程。有人认为,基督教与宪政民主存在着某种强因果关系,甚至认为是充分必要条件。因而,类似于中国这样的非基督教国家,如欲建立自由宪政制度,当以转向基督教为前提。
然而,上述论断过于简化了文化与政治制度间的关系,也忽视了若干基本事实。人类生活的历史与现实,都没有证明基督教与宪政民主之间的对应具有唯一性和排他性。简言之,它们并没有否决在非基督教国家中,有建立民主宪政的可能性。
其实,无需陷入很深的理论思辩,只需看看当代世界的经验现实,并不难回答上述问题。
当今世界的民主宪政国家,有些并非基督教国家,譬如日本、印度。而在历史上,不信奉基督教的罗马共和国,也是一个宪政国家(虽然并非民主国家)。自由宪政与基督教之间,并不存在排他性的因果关系。
虽然,相对而言,比较其他文明,基督教文明无疑更适于宪政民主的生长。然而,在当今各种文明接触和交流日益频繁深入的全球化时代,无论从经验上还是理论上,都没有根据说宪政民主全然拒绝生长在其他文明的土壤中。
就儒家文明而言,虽然,众所周知,儒家的三纲等严格规定的等级秩序;它的世俗实用特征从而欠缺超越性,或用国内学者说法,缺乏超验之维,因而,精神权力对世俗权力的制约及其弱小,较难于确立法律至上的法治精神。它的一元化权力金字塔,而非欧洲历史上长期存在的世俗政权和神圣教权的二元对峙;它的“人皆可为圣贤”的性善轮,缺乏基督教对人的罪性的洞见,因而难以出现权力分离和制衡的结构,显然都是实现宪政民主的障碍。但是,儒学中也不乏一些正面资源,主要是其民本主义(譬如民贵君轻,譬如仁政、王道,孟子的有恒产者有恒心,以及儒家主张政府只管政治,不管制经济的传统,以科举为轴心的文官考试传统)经过“创造性转化”的历史过程,它不是不可以同民主宪政制度接榫的。事实上,中国早期接受西方民主文化的都是儒家人士。 比如清末的王韬,帮助翻译了几大部中国经典后,到欧洲演讲,回来后介绍西方的民主,如西方的政治、英国的监狱、英国的法庭和民主制度等等。作为一位儒家学者,他认为欧洲的民主发展已超过了中国的三代。 以后的薛福成、钱穆等学者,都是在中国最早了解和介绍西方民主的儒家人士。往前追溯,明末时期的黄宗曦写出了《言君篇》、《言臣篇》,对君主专制进行了猛烈的抨击,在清朝末年发生极大影响,那是一种比较接近民主精神的政治观点。戊戌变法前后,无论是革命派,还是维新派,其基本背景都是儒家观点。当时的中国知识分子接受了许多西方观念,五四时期更是进了一大步。许多知识分子不断介绍和提倡西方的自由民主思想,而当时真正了解中国传统文化、并且有很高修养的知识分子,也是积极接受西方民主观念的人。当时虽然有强烈的反儒声浪,但正如林毓生等研究者所指出的,他们用以反儒的思考方式仍然不离儒家的大传统。这里就涉及儒学与自由主义的衔接的问题,因此,近年来在华人知识分子中出现有关“儒家自由主义”的讨论,其来有自,并非空穴来风,。此外,从经验世界看,世界上的儒家文化圈中,已经出现了这样的华人社会:台湾、香港、新加坡;以及非华人社会,日本、南韩。它们相互之间各各不同,但都大体上都有或轻或重的儒家文化的长期影响,在这些社会中,宪政体制与儒家文化之间,有着相当复杂的互动关系。但必须客观承认,目前,这些社会大体上都具有了宪政体制,而儒家文化作为该社会的精神传承之一,也得到了保存,获得了合法存在的权利。这就表明,儒教与宪政并不存在不可调和的根本冲突。事实上,宪政民主作为一种现代的制度安排,可与人类文明中长期形成的绝大多数古典宗教或世俗文化相容。
在广义的儒家文化圈中,已经步入宪政民主轨道的社会有日本、南韩和台湾。其中,就基督教在这些社会中传布的程度(主要指基督徒所占总人口比例)而言,应当说日本仍然大体上保存和延续了自己的宗教和文化。而亚洲受儒教影响最深的南韩,自韩战结束后,基督教迅速发展,信徒数量持续多年呈爆炸性的增长,时至今日,韩国基督教信徒约1800万人,在总人口中所占的比例达到39%,加上天主教则已突破50%。韩国已继菲律宾和东帝汶之后成为亚洲第三个以基督信仰为主导的国家,已经可称为一个新兴的基督教国家了。台湾则某种意义上处于日本与南韩之间。在中国大陆,基督教传布的整体情况如何呢?如果看看远志明先生所拍的电视片《十字架在中国》,当会有一个感性的概貌,人们不难发现那片土地上勃勃的信仰生机。目前,中国基督教徒已有上亿,占人口总数的10%左右,而且相当大大部分的中国知识分子是基督徒或所谓的“文化基督徒”。从可以预见的历史长程来看,笔者预估中国大陆的基督教信仰状态会比较接近台湾社会的目前状态,即是说,很可能是处于日本与南韩之间。
杨小凯皈依基督教的心路历程,在中国较年轻的一代自由知识分子中间获得的反响较大。他们之中的不少优秀人物不约而同地汇聚到这一条路上来了。然而,由于杨小凯对中国传统文化特别是儒学有相当尊重,因此,也许他本人也未曾意识到,实际上他的精神想象,他的神圣之路,与儒家的“内圣外王”之道,异曲同工,隐然有一种“同构”的关系。他由对神的信为起点,向外推出合理的政治秩序——宪政民主。这条路与儒家通过“成圣”的道德的修行而外化到合理的王道政治秩序,即所谓“修身-齐家-治国-平天下”是有某种相似性的。从杨小凯身上,也许我们能发现中国基督教在某种程度上的本土化,而该趋势似乎是难以避免的。实际上,回溯历史,印度的佛教进入中国经隋唐时代后逐步中国化,变成颇具特色的禅宗。这一文化交融、精神流变的历史过程,大大丰富和扩展了中国文化的内涵,类似的历史流程将有可能重新大行其道于未来中国。而杨小凯——一位探索者的心路历程,也许正是这一历史流程的端倪。
──陈奎德, 《观察》首发 |
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It is said that a boy's university life can never be consummate without
the experience of drinking beer and watching football games. Ideally, he
should accomplish this task for at least once in a bar. From this
prospective, my university life has been, so far, inexpressibly but
indubitably boring, at least to those sports fans. My friends, I guess,
will never make a fuss over my inexperience and lack of interest in
sports. The only motivation for my once in a blue moon participation in
sports such as swimming and badminton hae been weight control. And
despite all these, i made my way to the Pin Fen Cafeteria with Dai Liang,
Lai Ming and a group of football fans to watch the FIFA world cup
tonight. To be accurate, they were there to watch the game of England v.s
Paraguay, i was there to indulge myself with potato chips and
Cocacola.The food was nice by the way. I made several futile attemptes to
participate in their heated conversation and soon i realized that i was
the only one at that table without the gifted talent to recall the most
minute persoal information about the players, their height, weight, and
marital status...sigh. At least i demonstrated the sagacity to shut up
in time and do what i am good at---gluttoning.
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Cong. 一下许总,鲍哥被国大计算机系研究生院录取;赖鸣同学拿到citigroup的offer....大家都这么牛,出来混越来越不容易了。。。。
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Singapore's election Ten in a row for the men in white
May 11th 2006 | SINGAPORE From The Economist print edition
The People's Action Party shows that it remains one of the world's most successful political machines
IT WAS a thrilling election, by Singaporean standards. For the first time since 1988 opposition parties managed to put up candidates for over half the 84 constituency seats. So in theory the ever-ruling People's Action Party (PAP) ran the risk of losing power, especially if its fears of a rebellion among well-educated young voters came to pass.
Of course, no one expected it to do anything but win handsomely. And within hours of the close of polling on May 6th, it was clear that the party had kept its unbroken record. The “men in white”—the colour of the PAP's campaign uniforms, signifying integrity—have won all ten elections since Singapore's independence from Britain (via a brief, unhappy marriage to Malaysia) in the 1960s. The party, led for decades by Singapore's founding father, Lee Kuan Yew, and now by his son, Lee Hsien Loong, raised the city-state to first-world income levels. In each election it has convinced Singaporeans it would be foolish to risk this prosperity by voting it out.
The opposition won just two seats, as in 2001, though under the rules it will again get a third, “non-constituency” seat. By agreeing not to stand against each other, the three opposition parties reduced the PAP's share of the vote in contested seats, from 75% last time to 67%. The Workers' Party came within sight of victory in Aljunied, a big “group” constituency (in which voters select a party slate of five or six candidates), gaining 44%. This was despite a row involving one of its candidates, James Gomez. Security cameras showed he had failed to hand in one of his registration papers, despite claiming to have done so. The PAP said it was a stunt to discredit the Elections Department. Since election day, Mr Gomez has been interviewed by police.
The younger Mr Lee, prime minister since 2004, was seeking his first mandate, and the PAP hoped to deliver him a clean sweep. His immediate predecessor, Goh Chok Tong, was dispatched to win over the two opposition constituencies with the PAP's customary mixture of carrots (lashings of money to improve their housing if they voted the right way) and sticks (last place in the queue for state grants if not). But neither this nor the PAP's harping on about Mr Gomez's antics worked.
Critics of Singapore's government point to its tight restrictions on political protest and its repeated use of defamation suits against the opposition and journalists. In the run-up to the election the PAP sued the tiny Singapore Democratic Party, arguing that one of its campaign leaflets had impugned the ruling party's honesty—the one thing that is guaranteed to inflame its ire. The party's leader, Chee Soon Juan, has already been bankrupted by a PAP lawsuit. Several of his colleagues, named in the new lawsuit, quickly apologised and agreed to pay damages.
Although those who challenge the PAP can expect a tough time, Singapore is by no means the hardest country for an opposition candidate to win votes in. Opposition parties were allowed to hold big campaign rallies and they got a moderate amount of coverage in the government-friendly local media. Desmond Lim, a defeated candidate of the Singapore Democratic Alliance, concedes that the fragmented opposition would do better if it united. Mr Lee senior, still in the cabinet as “minister mentor”, aged 82, is harsher, saying recently that Singapore needed “a world-class opposition, not this riffraff”. What is clear is that the PAP does not just win by squashing its opponents. Its tenth successive victory shows that it remains a most formidable political machine.
The reasons for the PAP's success are manifold, but the main one, as it never fails to remind voters, is that it has always kept its promise of efficient and clean government. Singapore's economy continues to grow at tigerish rates—9% in the year to March. Though Singaporeans grumble about the rising cost of living, their incomes and the public services they enjoy compare favourably with those anywhere else in South-East Asia.
But how has the PAP maintained its form, when dominant parties elsewhere have become flabby and corrupt for want of a strong opposition to keep them nimble? In part this is because of its obsession with seeking new talent, and its ruthlessness in turfing out established figures to keep its line-up of ministers and MPs fresh. Over a quarter of its candidates are new this time around; a similar proportion were new at the previous election, in 2001.
Sinapan Samydorai of the Think Centre, a group promoting political openness, says the PAP is also expert in co-opting any bright spark who might otherwise become a critic. For example, he says, Raymond Lim, now a cabinet minister, once belonged to the Roundtable, an extinct political club that briefly looked like a nucleus of opposition. The PAP puts results above ideology, which makes this easier.
Chiam See Tong of the Democratic Alliance, one of the two re-elected opposition MPs, has argued that Singapore must increasingly compete in a knowledge-based world economy and will need a “climate of freedom”. As he put it, “One does not expect slaves to be creative.” In the long term, he is likely to be right. But so far, the PAP's Brave New World, in which a pampered and politics-shy public is led by strict but benevolent leaders, seems to make Singaporeans pretty happy.
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Copyright © 2006 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group. All rights reserved.
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With most of my friends on holiday in China and myself enmeshed in an enthralling little red book which entails not days but months of memorizing, i have to relieve my ennui by devouring almost 50 papers from the econLIT database in a single day . As a result, i missed the finale of my favourite show---the west wing. Well, technically, I didn't miss the show because of the preliminary research . I do not have cable TV in old KR anyway. To commenorate such a great and enlightening series, any desultory ideas will be improper not only to the working of Aron Sorking and John Wells, the magnificent performance of Martin Sheen and the rest of the cast, but also to the energy and enthusiasm with which i have been waching this show in the past 2 years. It is wellknown beforehand that all good things must come to an end, yet it is unavoidably a heartbreaking moment when we know that the Bartlet Administration has come to the last day in the oval office. I guess many of its viewers will never forget the addictive terse witty language they speak, the tone of Martin Sheen, the cute smile on the face of Sam Seaborn, the ha-ha funny response of Josh Lyman, the feminine professionalism of C.J Cregg, the overwhelming eloquence of Toby Ziegler and the shrewd gentlemanlike manner of Leo McGarry....So many good memorries about the West Wing, but before i got time to arrange my thoughts, i'd like to put together the comments and criticism from major US and EU press....
  "West Wing" finale an emotional goodbye
By Barry Garron
LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) - It came on with a bang seven seasons ago, startling viewers who could scarcely believe a TV series could be so smart, thought-provoking, beautifully written and well-acted, all at the same time.
And with the final episode of "The West Wing" on Sunday, it seems a safe bet that it will be a long time, if ever, before TV again tackles profound topics like politics as policy with as much dramatic mettle.
The series, a contemporary video version of President Kennedy's Camelot conceived by Aaron Sorkin and upheld by John Wells, went out with its head held high. Instead of tackling thorny issues with compelling explosive story lines, the finale was a long goodbye, filled with emotional moments that evoked the richness of the show's past. These included references to Leo McGarry, the character played by late actor John Spencer. His death in December seemed to foretell the lowering of the curtain on this much-honored yet oddly underappreciated series.
Clinging to tradition, "West Wing" imparted yet another important civics lesson before leaving the stage for good. This time, it demonstrated the efficient and orderly way power is transferred from one administration to the next. Perfect timing, considering it was broadcast on the eve of the "upfronts," the annual week of TV transition.
Reuters/Hollywood Reporter
The final episode of acclaimed political drama The West Wing has been screened in the US, ending the programme's seven-year run on TV.
Martin Sheen has bowed out as President Josiah Bartlet after serving two terms.
Viewers saw the outcome of the battle between characters played by Alan Alda and Jimmy Smits to be his successor.
The show won Emmy Awards for best TV drama in four successive years and has the record for most Emmys in a single season, with nine in its first year.
Set in the West Wing of the White House, the programme followed the administration of the fictional Democratic president.
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THE WEST WING FACTS
First shown in the US in 1999
Follows a fictional Democratic White House administration
Won 24 Emmy Awards
Won a record nine Emmys for its first season
NBC dropped it after ratings dropped to half the audience of its heyday
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Broadcaster NBC decided in January to drop the drama because ratings had declined.
At its peak, it was among the most popular shows on US television with audiences of 17 million, and was frequently praised by critics.
But the current season made its debut with 7.6 million viewers in a new Sunday night slot.
The West Wing's use of intricate terminology, delivered during punchy back-and-forth dialogues between the characters, could also baffle viewers unfamiliar with the finer points of US politics and law.
Actor John Spencer, who played chief of staff Leo McGarry, died last December after a heart attack.
In a sad coincidence, his character had also suffered coronary failure - but in the programme, McGarry recovered and returned to politics.
This final series of The West Wing had to be rewritten in order to fill the gap left by the death of the popular actor.
Rob Lowe reprised his role as Sam Seaborn as the show ended
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Former cast members agreed to return to the show as it approached its final episodes.
Rob Lowe reprised his role as Sam Seaborn, who had been the deputy communications director.
Lowe had left in 2003, with a dispute about his salary rumoured to be to blame.
Mary-Louise Parker and Emily Proctor - who is now one of the stars of CSI: Miami - have also come back to The West Wing.
The programme's creator, Aaron Sorkin, left the show after its fourth series in 2003, with NBC bringing in a new team of writers.
Sunday's last edition saw the inauguration of a new leader to replace President Bartlet.
Viewers in the UK must wait approximately three months to see it as digital channel More 4 has only shown 10 episodes of the 22 in series seven.
Final closure of The West Wing
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Rumours of the demise of the show began in 2005
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Political drama The West Wing, which has been axed after falling ratings, has earned widespread acclaim in its seven-year history.
Set in the West Wing of the White House, it follows the administration of fictional Democratic president Josiah "Jed" Bartlet, played by Hollywood veteran Martin Sheen.
Touching on issues such as anti-terror legislation and presidential scandal, its view of White House life earned the series an unprecedented 24 Emmy awards and two Golden Globes.
"It didn't insult you and it was supremely clever at it," said freelance TV critic William Gallagher.
'Huge tension'
"You might not know the finer points of US law but you got it and - much more - you got why it was so important to these characters."
The series had "verve", Mr Gallagher added. "It could build huge tension over people just waiting to go into a meeting."
The West Wing was devised by New York writer Aaron Sorkin, who created the series with unused plot elements from his 1995 movie The American President and 1998 TV series Sports Night.
Martin Sheen's role as President Bartlet was expanded in the series
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He originally intended to make deputy communications director Sam Seaborn, played by Rob Lowe, the central figure among a cast that included Stockard Channing and John Spencer.
However, when The West Wing made its debut on NBC in 1999 the role of the president soon expanded as critics praised Sheen's portrayal of a tough-minded liberal.
In 2000 former White House aide Matthew Miller said The West Wing "captivates viewers by making the human side of politics more real than life - or at least more real than the picture we get from the news".
Anti-terror episode
Attracting 17.6 million US viewers and winning a record nine Emmy awards for its first season, The West Wing was soon broadcast in countries including Japan and the UK.
Programme-makers endeavoured to keep the show relevant by basing plots around ongoing or current political issues.
It dealt with public stances on homosexuality and religion, and in 2001 a one-off episode entitled Isaac and Ishmael discussed anti-terror legislation in the wake of the Twin Towers attacks.
Aaron Sorkin (left) had drug charges against him quashed
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It was later revealed that President Bartlet had multiple sclerosis, with the show examining the personal and political implications of the disease.
The West Wing's first setback came in 2002 when Lowe left in a dispute over pay and the prominence of his character.
"It has been increasingly clear, for quite a while, that there was no longer a place for Sam Seaborn on The West Wing," the actor said.
The show had developed a loyal following by this time, however - even in the UK, where it lacked a permanent timeslot and moved from Channel 4 to E4 then More4.
But a turn of events tested that loyalty to such an extent that a number of fans would actively campaign for The West Wing to be taken off air.
The show's creator Aaron Sorkin was arrested in possession of cocaine, marijuana and hallucinogenic mushrooms in 2001.
Charges against him were quashed but he subsequently quit the show in 2003 amid rumours of tension with producer Warner Bros.
The West Wing continued for a further three seasons, but ratings fell as the series replaced Mr Sorkin's dialogue-heavy writing with traditional plot-heavy drama.
"There were teams of writers on it from the start but Aaron Sorkin wrote or rewrote all of them for the first four years and the show had his voice," William Gallagher said.
"When Sorkin left, the show stepped off a cliff - its fifth season was extraordinarily poor."
The first episode of its final season attracted a respectable 7.6 million viewers in the US, but this remained 10 million fewer than the series at its height.
John Spencer, who played Leo McGarry, died in December 2005
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The West Wing's unprecedented run of award wins came to an end at last week's Golden Globes, with drama series such as Lost, House and new political drama Commander-in-Chief - with Geena Davis as a female president - stealing its thunder.
"It's a different world from when the West Wing started in 1999," said Mr Gallagher.
"Politics is getting very serious debate in the most unexpected dramas like Battlestar Galactica and we do have the more straightforward Commander-in-Chief."
Meanwhile John Spencer, who had played politician Leo McGarry since the series began, died of a heart attack in December aged 58.
Spencer will be remembered in a two-hour US finale in May.
And with that, the respected and influential West Wing will close to the public for the last time.
Fans say goodbye to The West Wing
By Jonathan Beale BBC News, Hollywood |
After seven long years, through overseas crises in the Middle East, rising tensions with China and interesting romantic dalliances, The West Wing is ending its critically acclaimed - although recently low-rated - run in the United States.
The show's demise will surely bring tears to the eyes of liberals who sought refuge from the current occupant of the real White House by watching the romantic portrayal of Democratic president Josiah Bartlet.
Played by real-life Democrat supporter Martin Sheen, he gave liberals a parallel universe they would have far preferred.
Many of the cast make no apologies for the show's left-wing tilt - partly because they're Democrat supporters in real life.
Bradley Whitford, who plays the politically savvy Josh Lyman, says: "Does anybody want to watch a television show where the music swells at the end and we jump up and down and go, 'We're drilling on protected land', 'We got a tax cut for the rich people'? It wouldn't work."
Real president's view
In truth, the series took advice from both sides of the political divide in trying to make it as real as possible, and it has appealed to a much wider audience than just downcast Democrats.
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The president ... didn't come over to say 'Hi' - I don't think he watches it Richard Schiff, cast member |
But was there any concern as to what the current occupant of the real White House thought about the portrayal of his party?
That remains a mystery, says Richard Schiff, who plays former communications director Toby Ziegler.
"We met the support staff of the Bush administration very early on in their takeover and then we had tea at the White House with the staff.
"The president was walking with his wife and his dog on the lawn and didn't come over to say 'Hi'. I don't think he watches it."
The notion that The West Wing somehow transformed the American political landscape is of course as far-fetched as some of the drama's plot lines.
It was President Bush, the anti-Jed Bartlet, who came to power during the show's early heyday.
And even Sheen, never afraid to make his own opinion known, could not help his friend Howard Dean win the presidency in 2004.
Sadly for Democrats, their fairy-tale ending only came true in Hollywood.
Influencing a generation
Then again, even with the recent ratings dip which contributed to its ultimate demise, The West Wing still drew millions of viewers weekly.
And Joe Lockhart, a White House spokesman for former President Bill Clinton, thinks it may have had an even greater impact.
"If this show could make people want to get involved in government, that's great for government, and I think it actually did.
"I think there's more enthusiasm now for working in government and getting into public service and - ratings aside, awards aside - that's a service that this show provided."
To quote President Bartlet, the show may have contributed to a new generation of Americans aiming to serve in government to "ensure that the promise of this country is the birthright of all the people".
The West Wing ends in the US on Sunday with the inauguration of a new president.

City Says Goodbye to 'West Wing,' Its Chattier Self
Washington Post Staff Writer Monday, May 15, 2006; Page B01
Washingtonians gathered around televisions last night for the series finale of "The West Wing," a program from a parallel universe in which the president is named Bartlet, terrorists come from Qumar and no one in the White House is allowed to finish a sentence.
The NBC program, which signed off its final broadcast at 9 p.m., was television's homage to Washington, from its regal theme music and iconic imagery of the city to its celebration of leaks, press briefings and spin control.
Viewing parties popped up across the region. "West Wing" was, in many ways, a home-town show, as "Cheers" was for Boston and "Seinfeld" for Manhattan. For some, it was a little too close to home.
"It was exactly like watching work," said Adam Levine, a communications specialist in the District who was an assistant White House press secretary for two years under President Bush. "You'd sit there and you would have just come out of a meeting in the Roosevelt Room, and you'd flip on the show and they are all sitting there having a meeting in the Roosevelt Room."
The show wasn't necessarily water-cooler material inside the real West Wing; people there work just as hard as their counterparts on the program and they haven't the time, Levine said. But it was a beloved weekly ritual for many former West Wingers, some of whom, such as Levine, consulted for the show's writers.
"I watched the show early on and haven't missed an episode in the last two seasons," said Scott Stanzel, another former Bush White House spokesman. He stopped watching only during what he calls the show's "preachy period," in the middle of its seven-season run, when the left-leaning Democratic administration portrayed on the program went a bit "over the top with its devout liberalism."
In an Arlington apartment last night, six young Democrats watched the finale on a projection screen, after an "all-American" turkey dinner. The core of the group -- twin sisters Morgan and Lauren Miller and Christy Gill, all 22 -- began watching "The West Wing" three years ago with their Democratic club at the University of California at Los Angeles, and imported the tradition to Washington when they moved east.
Someone in the group noted how old everyone looked: NBC had replayed the show's 1999 pilot before airing the final episode.
"They're supposed to look old when they leave the White House," Lauren Miller responded. "Look at Bush; look at Clinton."
The general consensus among fans, insiders and TV critics is that "The West Wing" began as a riff on the Clinton administration. Critics say it continued down that path even as it strayed farther and farther from political reality, to the point that its fictional White House would find liberal resolutions to real-life problems faced by the right-leaning Bush administration. Some Republican detractors dubbed the show "The Left Wing."
Jennifer Palmieri, a press aide during the Clinton years, recalls when the real West Wing learned of an early concept for the show.
"We heard it was going to be about young former Southern governor who was divorced and had a 13-year-old daughter. Does that sound familiar? Except for the divorced part," she said. Producers ended up giving the fictional president a New Hampshire background and three daughters and patching up his marriage.
Palmieri, who lives in the Old Town section of Alexandria, remembers when the cast came to visit their counterparts in summer 1999: John Podesta, Clinton's chief of staff, hung out with actor John Spencer, his TV facsimile; Press Secretary Joe Lockhart paired off with Allison Janney.
But she stopped watching the show after the 2001 season, because "when Gore lost, it was like being at your ex-boyfriend's wedding, every week."
There are good reasons for the show's undeniable appeal to legions of Republicans, whatever its apparent Democratic bias.
Its accuracy in rendering real life in the West Wing was "jaw-dropping," said Levine, who was a consultant early in the series, down to "which staffers would talk to what people about what subjects, to what pins they would wear."
Do real-life West Wingers really talk as fast as the jabber-jaws who play them on television? No, said Levine: The real halls of power have "more the feel of a library." Yes, Palmieri said: "I don't think anybody ever finished a sentence in eight years in the West Wing, including Clinton."
Some of the program's best moments transcended partisan politics, as when, in a recent episode, victorious Democratic presidential candidate Matt Santos, played by Jimmy Smits, offers to make his vanquished foe, Alan Alda's Arnold Vinick, secretary of state.
Alda's character so eloquently expressed Republican views in the final weeks of the show that he changed some minds on the predominantly left-leaning writing staff, said Lawrence O'Donnell, an executive producer.
"It's Pat Buchanan's favorite TV show," O'Donnell said. "And that, for me, means that it's a very successful TV show."
Ultimately, "The West Wing" was not a program about politics, he said.
"I was always trying to write the best drama that I could write for television," O'Donnell said. "If it had been a politics show, it wouldn't have lasted a season."
Joel Bradshaw, a computer consultant to a defense contractor had "absolutely no interest in politics, or a show about politics," when he stumbled across a "West Wing" episode early on. The Fairfax resident was hooked by the plot lines, and "it got to the point where I planned my week around not missing an episode of 'West Wing,' " he said. "I've seen people around town with 'Bartlet is my president' T-shirts, and if I knew where to get one, I'd probably buy one."
'West Wing' Ends With Graceful Transition
Filed at 12:44 a.m. ET
NEW YORK (AP) -- It was an orderly transition Sunday night as President Jed Bartlet left office and ''The West Wing'' came to a graceful end.
After seven TV seasons (and two terms in his fictional White House), the heroic, quirky, often embattled chief executive played by Martin Sheen was succeeded by Matt Santos (Jimmy Smits). As the Bartlet administration came to its inevitable conclusion, so did the NBC drama.
''You did a lot of good, Jed, a lot of good,'' the First Lady (Stockard Channing) told her husband as Inauguration Day dawned.
Bartlet's mood at that moment must have matched many viewers': relief, satisfaction, gratitude and sadness that it was about to be over.
And later on, Abbie Bartlet said proudly, ''Jed, you made it. You're still here'' -- after the assassination attempt, his battle with multiple sclerosis, and the punishing duties of his job.
Sentiment hung heavy through the hour, both for the characters and the audience. In particular, former chief of staff Leo McGarry, who had died suddenly on the campaign trail as Santos' vice-presidential running mate, was repeatedly recalled (as was, implicitly, the late John Spencer, who played him until his death of a heart attack last December).
''I'm gonna take one final stroll around the joint, to make sure nobody's making off with the cutlery,'' Bartlet told his secretary (Lily Tomlin) after tending to one final presidential task: signing some pardons in the oval office.
Caution: Spoiler alert. Would he pardon Toby Ziegler (Richard Schiff), a trusted senior adviser who had leaked classified information out of conscience, then confessed; been fired, tried and indicted; and now was facing prison?
Though still torn between feelings of betrayal and affection -- well, of course, Bartlet pardoned Toby.
For the episode, a full-scale inauguration platform was erected, where the ceremony would soon begin as, back at the White House, Bartlet staffers watched coverage of it on their TVs and finished packing up.
Then, at 42 minutes into the hour, Santos took the oath of office. An era was over. So, remarkably, was the brief inauguration scene.
''Nice speech,'' the former president told President Santos (viewers will never know).
''No JFK,'' Santos replied.
''No,'' smiled Bartlet. ''But you've got time. Make me proud, Mr. President.''
''I'll do my best, Mr. President,'' Santos said.
And Bartlet was gone.
In the unseen Santos administration ahead, ''West Wing'' favorites Donna Moss and Josh Lyman (Janel Moloney and Bradley Whitford) will be part of the team -- and presumably will remain an item, a recent development after having been partners for years in TV's sexiest unconsummated, unacknowledged romance.
''The West Wing,'' which premiered in fall 1999, was the vision of Aaron Sorkin, whose genius was reflected in the pilot episode, repeated Sunday night just before the finale aired. Sorkin not only created the series, but wrote all the episodes for several seasons before leaving it.
Although a popular hit as well as a critical smash, the series in recent seasons dropped precipitously from its former Top-10 status and was canceled by the network.
Even so, this season's episodes have been strong, charting not only White House goings-on but also the campaign between Santos and his Republican challenger, Arnold Vinick (Alan Alda).
Viewers can be cheered that Sorkin will be back on TV: NBC has announced that his new series, ''Studio 60 on Sunset Strip'' will be on its fall lineup, with stars including ''West Wing'' alumni Whitford and Timothy Busfield.
And Sunday the final scene of ''The West Wing'' left the audience on a forward-looking note, too, even if expressed in a wistful tone.
''What are you thinking about?'' Abbie Bartlet asked her husband as they flew back home to New Hampshire after the marvelous adventure they had shared with ''West Wing'' fans.
''Tomorrow,'' he replied.
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"what i call at the zenith of TV industry"
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it is now 11:38. i finished my plan today 22 minutes ahead of schedule and i idid it despite of the out-of-budget two and half hour nap this afternoon...sigh
It is far from between that i show any tendency of contumaciousness.however, the more word lists i go through, the more cynical i become. What kind of students do top US universities want? Creative and independent problem-solvers or walking polysemantic dictionaries? I can almost see the end product of this excruciating process: a guy who instead of saying bird use the phrase " feathered biped", a guy instead of calling another " unpredictable and hard to deal with" use the expression " cranky flighty surly snobbish blockhead/curmudgeon" ...sigh
It is Vesak Day today, a public holiday on which all libraries and studyrooms across NUS are closed. So, instead of sitting comfortably in a well luminated and air-conditioned commodious studyroom, i ended up sitting in my room sweating and asleep during most f the day time...screw the public holiday
What is laudable is my implementation of the plan despite of the plan itself being discombobulated to such an extent.
白宫群英看到第六季, 当全身瘫痪的Barlet总统语气坚定地下令继续对中国的访问的时候,俺感动坏了。如果AARon Sorkin是一个语言特别是控制对话模式和节奏的大师, 那John Wells就是个讲故事的大师。第四季以后的west wing靠情节的发展来吸引观众的眼球。
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